Ensemble-based occurrence probability of severe weather events

[A short guide (pdf)]  

Extreme events:
heavy precipitation
strong wind
warm
cold

Climatological percentiles:
90th or 10th
95th or 5th
99th or 1st

Areas
            [SWFDP regions?]

Initial times:
Year.Month
            Day


Forecast days:
+0-1 days
+1-2 days
+2-3 days
+3-4 days
+4-5 days
+5-6 days
+6-7 days
+7-8 days
+8-9 days
+9-10 days
+10-11 days
+11-12 days
+12-13 days
+13-14 days
+14-15 days

summarised forecasts

Climatological percentiles

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